Third Quarter 2017 Market Perspective

The Federal Reserve stopped creating new money more than two years ago. Since December 2015, it has lifted the funds rate by 100 basis points from zero percent. 

However, the Bank of Japan and Bank of England picked up the Fed’s slack and continued printing. Global central bank money-printing reached a record level in the first half of this year (about $200 billion per month), exceeding printing during the 2009 financial crisis. 

Despite these extraordinary efforts, reported core inflation generally remains below target levels, and yields are at historic lows. The longer expansionary monetary policy lasts, the greater the chance of overvaluation and intense price corrections. And as expansionary monetary policy winds down, there remains little insurance against another crisis… READ MORE